Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.647620 8.767643 10.013188 11.504242 13.244902 15.217741 17.630226
2025-01-26 6.313436 7.792286 9.576262 11.899129 14.861714 18.537550 23.480580
2025-02-02 5.463050 7.112840 9.224696 12.151007 16.139580 21.441750 29.116595
2025-02-09 4.950603 6.733616 9.130158 12.627351 17.668005 24.773853 35.734255
2025-02-16 4.312713 6.077623 8.546048 12.304778 17.979630 26.383033 40.062552
2025-02-23 3.866093 5.622768 8.168499 12.196414 18.539221 28.364610 45.176489
2025-03-02 3.498528 5.233953 7.830476 12.083862 19.043991 30.281653 50.420658
2025-03-09 3.172917 4.869156 7.481353 11.897706 19.383282 31.940151 55.433609
2025-03-16 2.875664 4.515780 7.108585 11.620404 19.519009 33.245431 59.979424
2025-03-23 2.771978 4.459500 7.201875 12.122032 21.037429 37.129804 69.863564
2025-03-30 2.613977 4.296844 7.099884 12.268819 21.931178 39.983989 78.198057
2025-04-06 2.431797 4.075675 6.875406 12.168516 22.348219 41.979812 85.096289
2025-04-13 2.255722 3.852629 6.632079 12.016827 22.666908 43.860770 92.153269
2025-04-20 2.182437 3.804281 6.694343 12.444342 24.170845 48.327744 105.665645
2025-04-27 2.092399 3.716906 6.675673 12.710387 25.376745 52.335619 118.858946
2025-05-04 2.039570 3.692868 6.771452 13.211250 27.131536 57.771458 136.486156
2025-05-11 1.889500 3.472577 6.471970 12.872168 27.032627 59.045009 143.981971
2025-05-18 1.778898 3.319248 6.289675 12.758266 27.416100 61.478705 154.933519
2025-05-25 1.677376 3.175595 6.114156 12.639965 27.773310 63.895991 166.305005
2025-06-01 1.576446 3.025360 5.912754 12.444315 27.925672 65.831559 176.715441
2025-06-08 1.474499 2.865550 5.678815 12.152900 27.814603 67.089004 185.424115
2025-06-15 1.456015 2.875270 5.800013 12.680085 29.766222 73.954069 212.307949
2025-06-22 1.405024 2.813176 5.762600 12.834372 30.803147 78.547403 233.196277